DS has pressed the issue of NATO (read across UK) unpreparedness in the face of a revanchist Russia, most especially in respect of the threat to the Baltic States. A lack of funding – many NATO States not meeting their obligations to spend at least 2% of GDP – a dearth of logistic enablers to transport large armoured and heavy formations, and a reluctance to forward base substantial NATO forces in the Baltic or Poland for fear of upsetting Mr Putin, all call into question European resolve.
The following commentary is a personal view of a DS member. It argues that currently Russia holds all the geopolitical cards and is able to manipulate the West. In particular, that NATO is being let down by some European treaty nations who are in denial as to their collective responsibilities and distracted by European Union military structures. This failure of leadership is compounded, possibly driven by, an unwillingness to grasp the reality of the geographic positioning of Russian borders. These permit Mr Putin to preposition, resupply and maintain forces at strength to threaten speedy incursion of some European NATO states if and when he decides. The commentary, which is entitled – ‘North Atlantic Treaty Organisation – Article 5 and the Strategic Dilemma that Dare Not Speak its Name [or How the West has got Mr Putin just where he wants them’] – is published here.